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ESMA has agreed on measures against CFDs. The rules came into effect on August 1, 2018. In the future, there will be restrictions on leverage (max. 30: 1), as well as an automatic loss limit, marketing restrictions, and a mandatory risk warning. You can find out more here.

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gold is bullish, and investors should continue to buy on dips today.

Hexun.

The OPEC secretariat reports that the current outlook for the oil market is harsher than last month’s and expects an increase in crude oil demand of 5.95 million barrels per day by 2021. A shortfall of one million barrels per day is scheduled for this year. Countries that still need to submit compensation plans have been told to do so as soon as possible. OPEC May oil production grew by 280,000 barrels per day to 25.52 million daily. A spokesperson for the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs said that while substantial progress has been made in the 2015 nuclear agreement negotiations, some critical issues must still be resolved. IAEA Director-General Grid Ross said the talks with Iran had “no results,” Iran must clarify issues of its stock of enriched uranium more than 16 times the agreed-upon limit. The EIA data shows that despite the sanctions imposed on Iran, the United States imported 1.033 million barrels of crude oil from Iran in March. In a draft document, the G7 finance ministers stated that they support the OECD/efforts G20 to agree on the lowest global corporate tax rate; once the economy has recovered, the ministers must ensure the long-term sustainability of government finances; and the central bank’s numbers will be discussed. Begin work on the fundamentals of currency, and report conclusions later in 2021. the OECD issued an economic outlook, predicting that the global economy will grow by 5.8% in 2021, and many countries’ expectations have been raised. The international tax agreement may be concluded in October, according to Guria.

Investors are currently shorting commodities, ranging from crops to natural gas.

The CFTC and ICE data suggest that since November last week, the Bloomberg commodity index tracking hedge funds are the most significant position in various commodities. Decline Monday’s data shows that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) had not purchased ETFs in May, the first time since Kuroda’s election as BOJ governor in 2013 when he did not intervene in the market. The data highlights that the central bank is retreating from Kuroda’s “bazooka” stimulus plan, as the years of massive asset purchases have attracted criticism. Several critics say this has made the BOJ balance sheet highly vulnerable. German inflation data was released on Monday after local measures to contain the flu were relaxed. This month’s data has risen 2.4% year-over-year, the highest since October 2018. This year, inflation may increase to 4% for the first time since the euro’s creation.

Previously, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced that to manage foreign exchange liquidity for financial institutions better, it has decided to increase the reserve ratio for foreign exchange deposits from 5% to 7% beginning June 15, 2021.

While the world economy grows, the gap between developing and developed countries increases, and it will take longer to recover to pre-epidemic output levels.

The global oil inventory surplus will be eliminated by the end of June. To achieve at least 2 million BPD of inventory drop by September-December, OPEC+ will have much room to increase production. Even if the current increase is completed, 6% of the global supply is idle.

As the world’s largest producer of sugar and coffee, the severe drought has worried the market about Brazil’s supply, pushing up future coffee prices.

May had the fastest year-on-year growth rate in nearly two and a half years. The pan-European stock index dropped and rose for four straight months in May. The weakness of the U.S. dollar, the offshore renminbi For more than two and a half months, oil distribution was highly variable. Bitcoin rose to nearly 37,000 USD in intraday trading, and ethereum gained almost 20% on the previous day’s decline. Stay on the facts today data and financial events on June 1 (Tuesday);

Q1 of the current Australian account

Manufacturing PMI (Caixin 09:45)

12:30 Aussie June rate

the German monthly retail sales rate in April

15:00 quarter GDP annual rate

value of May manufacturing PMI: 15:50 French

15.55: German seasonal unemployment rate

15:55 Germany manufacturing PMI

European manufacturing PMI, 17:00 local time

Markit Manufacturing PMI: 16:30, UK GMT

Starting at 17:00 In May, the annual CPI rate in the eurozone is not adjusted. reside

17:00 April Eurozone unemployment rate

approximately $23 billion monthly.”

21:45 -PMI Value on May 16, 2014

W 22:00 May PMI Manufacturing

the 17th OPEC and non-OPEC ministerial video conference was held

technicals

Gold~1 hour price

You can open the app to see the latest report.

Gold was static yesterday.

Daily-level prices continue to run above the shock range; some support below can be counted on. The bullish signal of the Yang Line has ended. In the short term, prices will rise, and the MACD’s fast and slow lines will increase. At the 1-hour level, the price has formed a short-term high, the trendline has provided some support, and the MACD’s fast and slow lines have increased. Because of this, the gold price is mostly rising. You can find the signal and place your orders when the price moves down toward the trend line. We are at 1912 pre-pressure. XAUUSD trading strategy (go long) Stop loss: around 1900, take profit: 1912-1922 1-hour Silver XAGUSD Silver follows the trend of gold and continues to vary within that range. Under the daily price level, it closed the bullish signal on the Yang small line Raising short-term price. Fast/Slow MACD ready for another golden cross. At the 1-hour level, the price is at a high and varying level. The MACD (Momentum, ADX, and Zero Line) shows continued strength. Today’s silver movement is mostly bullish and upward. We are waiting for the price to fall to the inscribed trend line to see the signal layout and orders. The early high target was 28.7. XAGUSD trading strategy (long) Entry point: 27.9, stop loss: 27.2, and profit: 28.7 to 29.2.

1-hour level crude oil

Yesterday, crude oil had to use the support below to rise.

The daily price increase follows the upward channel but has reached the upper Bollinger band and is being suppressed. With increased upward pressure and a likelihood of a callback, the MACD volume can shrink. Looking at the 1-hour chart, the price rise has encountered the previous upward trend line; the price has repeatedly risen and fallen, and the short-term price will decline. So, today’s crude oil price trend fell mainly. Buyers should be patient, waiting for the price to rebound above the upward trend line before taking a short position. The short-term target shock range is located near 66.1. OPIS trading strategy (short) Stop loss: 68.8, take profit: 66.1-65.4 the 1-hour EURUSD level The euro continued to rise due to the dollar’s rise and fall. The price increased significantly, staying near the 10-day moving average, and closed a bullish signal set by the mid-Yang line. The price continued to grow, and the MACD’s fast and slow-moving average converged on another golden cross. At the 1-hour level, the short-term price trend is in a V-shaped reversal, supported by the inscribed trend line, and the short-term price will rise. As such, the current trend of the euro is mainly up. I will look for a signal setup and orders as the price approaches the inward trendline. At the top of the target earlier

stainless steel runs smoothly and nickel demand is still guaranteed

Stainless steel runs smoothly and nickel demand remains strong.

At the macro level, economic expectations are heating up, domestic economic conditions are improving, and market sentiment is optimistic.

In terms of industry, nickel ore supplies are tight and the price remains high. Ferronickel plants do not wish to ship goods at a loss, while stainless steel orders are good and prices remain stable

In general, the demand for nickel in the downstream industry is still guaranteed, and the Shanghai nickel market should not be pessimistic. The reference range of Shanghai Nickel 2102 contract is 115,000-123,000 yuan/ton, and the reference range of SS2102 contract is 1,3000-13600 yuan/ton.

In terms of operation, Shanghai nickel is long on dips, while stainless steel is on the sidelines.

Uncertainty risks: epidemic development, overseas economic stimulus policies, nickel resource imports, changes in stainless steel capacity utilization

One

Market review

Nickel prices dropped overall this week. Although the macro environment is generally positive, the continuous rise of the metal sector in the early stage has caused a phased correction in the sector, which has brought certain pressure on the nickel price. In addition, the industry is generally stable and there is no obvious good news for the time being. The transaction price of ferronickel is still at a low level, only nickel ore still has support.

Open the app to read the latest report

two

Analysis of price influence factors

1. Macro aspect

1.1. Overseas: Fiscal policy is expected to heat up, and the macro environment continues to warm up

Pfizer halved vaccine production in half a year, which once disturbed the market. OPEC’s production growth slowed down, and rising oil prices pushed up inflation expectations.

US President-elect Joe Biden nominated former Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen as a candidate for finance minister, is conducive to the subsequent fiscal policies. The two parties in the United States jointly proposed a fiscal stimulus agreement, and the probability of fiscal stimulus increased during the year. U.S. manufacturing data has fallen, non-agricultural employment has been significantly lower than expected, the impact of the second outbreak of the epidemic is showing, and it

On the macro level, expectations of overseas fiscal stimulus heat up, the domestic economy continues to improve, and market sentiment tends to be optimistic. In terms of industry, the supply of nickel ore is tight and the prices remain high. Ferronickel plants are not willing to ship goods at a loss, and stainless steel orders are better and prices remain stable. In general, the demand for nickel in the downstream industry is still guaranteed, and the Shanghai nickel market should not be pessimistic. The reference range of Shanghai Nickel 2102 contract is 115,000-123,000 yuan/ton, and the reference range of SS2102 contract is 1,3000-13600 yuan/ton.

In terms of operation, Shanghai nickel is long on dips, while stainless steel is on the sidelines.

(Editor in charge: Chen Zhuang)

The Corona effects on bitcoin price

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3 Ways Coronavirus May Have Affected Bitcoin – CCN.comwww.ccn.com › 3-ways-coronavirus-may-have-affected-bitcoin
17 Feb 2020 – As coronavirus spreads mass panic worldwide, its impact on Bitcoin is becoming more evident. Here are three critical factors

  1. Chinese Quarantine Cash To Stop Coronavirus, Not an Issue …cointelegraph.com › news › Chinese-quarantines-cash-to-stop-corona…
    16 Feb 2020 – Chinese Quarantine Cash To Stop Coronavirus, Not an Issue With Bitcoin. News. It has been reported that China has started a quarantine of its …

China’s Economy on the Brink of Collapse Amid Corona Fears
Twenty-one hours ago – While the Coronavirus outbreak grows, there are anxieties about its long-term effect on China’s economy. Can Bitcoin help solve issues? Traders Demand More Crypto and Bitcoin CFD Trading.

Coronavirus “is good for bitcoin” | FT Alphavilleftalphaville.ft.com › 2020/01/27 › Coronavirus-is-good-for-bitcoin
27 Jan 2020 – Don’t let moral anguish over the deaths of potentially thousands of people get in the way of an opportunity to shill some crypto and pump up the …

Bitcoin tumbles along with stocks amid coronavirus …
One day ago – Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies were tumbling along with stocks, calling into question the narrative that crypto is a haven asset class.

The Coronavirus Could See Bitcoin ‘Explode In Value’ – Forbeswww.forbes.com › sites › 2020/02/03 › coronavirus…
3 Feb 2020 – Bitcoin climbed to a year-to-date high last night, moving sharply higher as the China stock market plummeted on its reopening after

Bitcoin Rallies to Near $9,150 as Stocks Drop Over …www.coindesk.com › bitcoin-rallies-to-near-9150-as-stocks-drop-over…
28 Jan 2020 – Bitcoin is rising with a broader uptrend that began well before the coronavirus scare began weighing on traditional markets.  

Gold rises as dollar weakens ahead of U.S. Fed meeting

Gold rises as dollar weakens ahead of U.S. Fed meeting,

Gold Spikes To New records As Dollar, Bond Yields Dive

Gold inches higher as dollar loses ground ahead of Fed meeting

Gold prices edged higher on Tuesday as the dollar pulled back from multiweek highs ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s two-day monetary policy meeting.

Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,341.38 as of 0344 GMT.

US gold futures also rose 0.2% to $1,345.20 an ounce.

“The overall sentiment in the gold markets is positive. There are expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates, which has weakened the dollar and remains a main driver for prices,” said Helen Lau, analyst, Argonaut Securities.

The dollar index against basket of major currencies was down 0.1% on Tuesday, making bullion cheaper for investors holding other currencies.

The dollar was somewhat weakened by the New York Fed’s business index showing a record decline in June to its weakest level in more than two and a half years.

At the current price rate, some fluctuations in gold prices are predicted as there are still some mixed views on the rate cut and some investors are cautious ahead of the Fed’s decision, Lau said.

The Fed’s two-day policy meeting starting later on Tuesday is the next major focus after markets have priced in more than two 25 basis-point rate cuts by year-end. That marks a sharp contrast to the Fed’s official forecast in March, which showed policymakers deemed the next move would be a hike.

The expectations of an interest cut have been steadily growing amid the raging US-China trade war, signs of the US economy losing momentum and pressure by President Trump to ease policy.

All these factors encouraged bullion’s appeal, with the precious metal gaining nearly 6% since touching its 2019 low of $1,265.85 in early May.

The US central bank is suspected to leave borrowing costs unchanged this time but probably lay the foundation for a rate cut later in 2019.

“We think that the Fed will not raise rates in June and with regards to policy wording, we could see a slightly less accommodative tone than what the market is expecting,” INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said in a note. “In which case the dollar could firm up somewhat further and perhaps pressure gold lower into its trading range.”

On the technical front, spot gold may break a support at $1,337 per ounce and fall to the next support at $1,324, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Pl

Investment bank reveals why the recent rebound in gold prices is expected to hit $1,300 during the year.

According to TD Securities, after a near one-year low in June, gold prices are expected to recover and continue to rise in the remaining months of the summer. The lack of “fuel” in the iterative trade war and the weakening of the dollar are factors that support the price of gold.

  TD Securities Global Strategy Director Bart Melek wrote in a report released on Monday (July 9): “The price of gold is expected to exceed $1,270 per ounce in the summer. In fact, if the price of gold rises in the last three months of 2018 We are not surprised by $1300/oz.”

  Melek pointed out that gold has started to recover last week, and COMEX August gold futures rose from $1,240 per ounce to around $1,260 per ounce.

  Melek wrote: “The weaker dollar, lack of interest in risky assets and the decline in long-term bond yields were key factors in the rise in gold prices last week. The bond yield curve was further flattened, which triggered a possible end to the current US economic expansion. Guessing and worrying, this is another important reason why gold prices have performed relatively well in recent days.”

  The report emphasizes that in the short term, some market speculators may recover their hawkish prospects on the issue of the Federal Reserve’s (FED) tightening of monetary policy, which will benefit the gold price.

  Melek added that the strength of emerging market currencies will also play a key role in boosting gold prices this summer.

  At the same time, Melek expects that as the European Central Bank (ECB) prepares to raise interest rates, the dollar’s gains will fall back, which is another good sign of gold.

Daniel Ghali, a commodities strategist at TD Securities, pointed out that investors may turn their attention to macroeconomic data as the trade war between China and the US has not been seriously upgraded this week.

  Ghali writes: “US inflation data may become the focus of precious metals traders, CPI and PPI will be released this week. But in addition to macro data, with US President Trump visiting Europe, market participants may also pay attention to NATO Summit.”

  Ghali explained: “Given the recent stock market unease and the resurgence of global economic growth that will be driven by trade, traders may interpret inflation weakness as a sign that the Fed may still abandon radical interest rate increases.”

  This week, investors will usher in some heavy data, the most important of which will be the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday.

  Analysts pointed out that if consumer inflation data continues to maintain current trends or accelerate, then the dollar may be rebound, as the possibility of another rate hike in 2018 will rise further. However, if the CPI and the last Friday’s wage data echo and fall back, it may lead to the suppression of the dollar, which will benefit the gold price.

The FED & BOE Move The Markets

The U.S. and the U.K.’s central banks will hold their monthly sessions this week to decide where to set key interest rates. Investors worldwide will be watching these key events closely as they can significantly affect USD and GBP pairs*

The EUR/USD climbed after the U.S. Federal Reserve voted to leave rates unchanged at 1.25% last month, highlighting “solid” economic growth. This left room for another rate hike in December, with analysts claiming that a rate hike is highly likely this month, pricing in the odds at 100%, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool.

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As expected, the Bank of England increased interest rates in November, marking the first rate hike in the last decade. Specifically, the BoE increased the benchmark interest rate from a record low of 0.25% to 0.50%, effectively reversing the last rate cut after the Brexit referendum. However, the rate hike was widely anticipated, which led to a sterling sell-off and caused the EURGBP to rally.

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What do the analysts expect this month?

Release Forecast* Previous*

FED Interest Rate Decision 1.50% 1.25%

BOE Interest Rate Decision 0.50% 0.50%

*Table source: investing.com

How might the Forex Markets be affected?

A generally hawkish stance and a higher-than-expected key interest rate can be considered positive/bullish for USD and GBP pairs.*

OR

A dovish monetary outlook and a lower-than-expected rate will have a negative/bearish effect on USD and GBP pairs.*